NEHRP Clearinghouse

Title
A Program of Studies on the Socioeconomic Effects of Earthquake Predictions.
File
PB292814.pdf
Source
National Science Foundation, Washington, DC. Applied Science and Research Applications., January 1978, 176 p.
Identifying Number(s)
IJBN-0-309-02789-6
Abstract
The report describes a research program to help anticipate and prevent the possible deleterious effects of earthquake predictions. Topics addressed include: (1) the implications of the state of the art of earthquake predicting; (2) a conceptual framework to use in assessing possible social and economic consequences of a prediction and the interrelationships of the consequences. The consequences and resulting issues are then classified into five groups: reactions of individuals and households; reactions of businesses and effects on the regional economy; government issues; legal problems; and the generation and dissemination of predictions. A strategy is presented for social science research based on complex and related problems treated in the preceding chapters, and is presented in three parts. Part 1 reviews three standard research frameworks required to address these problems. Part 2 discusses general criteria for establishing research priorities. Part 3 establishes specific priorities among the recommended research topics using the criteria mentioned in Part 2.
Keywords
Economic impact; Reviews; Economic analysis; Earthquakes; Research; Government policies; Social effect; State of the art; Socioeconomic impacts; Businesses; Warning systems; Sociology; Predictions; Economic factors; Regions