NEHRP Clearinghouse
- Title
- A Program of Studies on the Socioeconomic Effects of Earthquake Predictions.
- File
- PB292814.pdf
- Source
- National Science Foundation, Washington, DC. Applied Science and Research Applications., January 1978, 176 p.
- Identifying Number(s)
- IJBN-0-309-02789-6
- Abstract
- The report describes a research program to help anticipate and prevent the possible deleterious effects of earthquake predictions. Topics addressed include: (1) the implications of the state of the art of earthquake predicting; (2) a conceptual framework to use in assessing possible social and economic consequences of a prediction and the interrelationships of the consequences. The consequences and resulting issues are then classified into five groups: reactions of individuals and households; reactions of businesses and effects on the regional economy; government issues; legal problems; and the generation and dissemination of predictions. A strategy is presented for social science research based on complex and related problems treated in the preceding chapters, and is presented in three parts. Part 1 reviews three standard research frameworks required to address these problems. Part 2 discusses general criteria for establishing research priorities. Part 3 establishes specific priorities among the recommended research topics using the criteria mentioned in Part 2.
- Keywords
- Economic factors; Predictions; Businesses; Sociology; State of the art; Regions; Research; Social effect; Economic impact; Socioeconomic impacts; Reviews; Government policies; Economic analysis; Warning systems; Earthquakes