NEHRP Clearinghouse
- Title
- Real-Time Forecasts of Tomorrow's Earthquakes in California: A New Mapping Tool.
- File
- PB2006105304.pdf
- Author(s)
- Gertstenberger, M.; Wiemer, S.; Jones, L.
- Source
- January 2004, 44 p.
- Identifying Number(s)
- USGS/OFR-2004-1390
- Abstract
- We have derived a multi-model approach to calculate time-dependent earthquake hazard resulting from earthquake clustering. This open-file report explains the theoretical background behind the approach, the specific details that are used in applying the method to California, as well as the statistical testing to validate the technique. We have implemented our algorithm as a real-time tool that has been automatically generating short-term hazard maps for California since May of 2002, at http://step.wr.usgs.gov.
- Keywords
- Emergency response; Earthquake clustering; Seismic phenomena; California; Forecasting; Algorithm; Multi-model; United States Geological Survey (USGS); Hazard maps; Real time; Maps; Earthquakes