NEHRP Clearinghouse
- Title
- Sensitivity of Earthquake Loss Estimates to Source Modeling Assumptions and Uncertainty.
- File
- PB2006110301.pdf
- Author(s)
- Reasenberg, P. A.; Shostak, N.; Terwilliger, S.
- Source
- January 2006, 38 p.
- Identifying Number(s)
- USGS/OFR-2006-1020
- Abstract
- This report explores how uncertainty in an earthquake source model may affect estimates of earthquake economic loss. Specifically, it focuses on the earthquake source model for the San Francisco Bay region (SFBR) created by the Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP, 2003). The loss calculations are made using HAZUS-MH (2003), a publicly available computer program developed by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) for calculating future losses from earthquakes, floods and hurricanes within the United States. The data base built into HAZUS-MH includes a detailed building inventory, population data, data on transportation corridors, bridges, utility lifelines, etc. Earthquake hazard in the loss calculations is based upon expected (median value) ground motion maps called ShakeMaps (Wald et al., 1999) calculated for the scenario earthquake sources defined in WGCEP (2003).
- Keywords
- Economic factors; California; Hurricanes; San Francisco Bay; United States; Floods; Hazards; Calculation; Computer programs; Modeling; Losses; Emergency management; Earthquakes