NEHRP Clearinghouse

Title
Earthquake Risk and Damage Functions: An Integrated Preparedness and Planning Model Applied to New Madrid.
File
PB80170368.pdf
Author(s)
Liu, B. C.; Hsieh, C. T.; Gustafson, R.; Nuttli, O.; Gentile, R.
Source
National Science Foundation, Washington, DC. Engineering and Applied Science., December 7, 1979, 335 p.
Abstract
This study attempts to provide, in an integrated analytical framework, the methodology and the data needed to guide public and private planning and future decision making for earthquake hazard preparedness and risk mitigation. The focus is on the New Madrid Fault region, especially the effect on the St. Louis and Memphis Standard Metropolitan Statistical Areas. An interdependent planning simulation model was developed to tie together statistically the seismic risk or physical damage functions to economic damage functions for potential earthquake risk assessment and impact evaluation for the next 50 years. Several topics are covered: (1) Various seismological risks in the New Madrid region are described and predicted; (2) The surficial materials are documented and ground susceptibility for the region is classified; (3) Populations subject to earthquake risk and the projected populations, 1980 through 2030, are discussed; (4) The development of the physical and economic damage functions and their applications to damage estimation and impact assessment under the 'status quo' scenario are presented; and (5) The institutional aspects and policy issues concerning earthquake risk reduction and preparedness are shown.
Keywords
Saint Louis (Missouri); Mississippi; Damage assessment; Predictions; Earthquake resistant structures; Illinois; Tennessee; Arkansas; Seismic risk; Risk; New Madrid fault; Earthquake engineering; Hazards; Kentucky; Memphis (Tennessee); Missouri; Earthquakes; Dynamic structural analysis