NEHRP Clearinghouse
- Title
- Proposed Initiative for Capitalizing on the Parkfield, California, Earthquake Prediction.
- File
- PB86198942.pdf
- Source
- Geological Survey, Reston, VA.; National Science Foundation, Washington, DC., January 1986, 38 p.
- Abstract
- In June 1985 a committee of the Board on Earth Sciences asked the National Research Council/National Academy of Sciences to bring to the attention of officials of the federal government the scientifically endorsed recent prediction of a moderate earthquake at Parkfield, California, between 1986 and 1993. The prediction offers a unique opportunity to improve our understanding of earthquakes and our future ability to predict them. An augmented experimental program at Parkfield is needed to document this high-probability event more completely, including the detection of premonitory phenomena. The report contains the information that was presented to government officials. It is intended to stimulate their interest, understanding, and enthusiasm for augmenting an experimental program. If successful, the Parkfield experiment will eventually translate into decreasing the vulnerability of people to earthquake hazards.
- Keywords
- ; Predictions; Tectonics; California; Soil mechanics; Earthquakes