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• Ellsworth, W. L.; Matthews, M. V.; Nadeau, R. M.; Nishenko, S. P.; Reasenberg, P. A.
  Physically-Based Earthquake Recurrence Model for Estimation of Long-Term Earthquake Probabilities.
  January 1999, 26 p.
  Keywords: Earthquakes; Recurrence; San Andreas Fault; Probability; Parkfield (California); Mathematical models; Brownian motion