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• ['Ellsworth, W. L.', 'Matthews, M. V.', 'Nadeau, R. M.', 'Nishenko, S. P.', 'Reasenberg, P. A.']
  Physically-Based Earthquake Recurrence Model for Estimation of Long-Term Earthquake Probabilities.
  January 1999, 26 p.
  Keywords: Probability; Parkfield (California); Mathematical models; Brownian motion; San Andreas Fault; Recurrence; Earthquakes